Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. They are losing by an average margin of nearly 40 points. West Coast need to win to be any hope of finishing inside the Top 4 and getting two bites at the cherry so look to be in a smash spot here against a Kangaroos team who could claim the wooden spoon. The Blues cover at a clip of 63% when an outsider of four goals or more. This match, naturally, takes place in WA. Collingwood is good travelers and that puts them in a nice spot on the road to a GWS team that is flailing since the season resumption. The Swans have also covered six of their last nine off a loss. The Tigers have won 17 of their last 18 at the MCG when favoured by more than two goals including six of their last seven. Geelong are always a play as an underdog. The Roos have won seven of the last 10 meetings with eight covers over that run including the last two meetings. Get the free app for iphone › Get the free app for android › take me to the full website He’s in very good form, slick conditions will suit him to find plenty of the ball, he can sneak forward to impact the scoreboard and in what is shaping up to be a tug of war, he could be the difference. St Kilda have covered just six of their last 17 when favoured so the Demons look the play in this one. West Coast have fallen to 5-5 against the number at Optus when favoured by more than two goals. North cover at 59% when an underdog of more than a goal. The Dockers have just two losses this year by more than 13 points. Saints have covered seven of their last nine when an outsider. Carlton cover at 58% when a double-digit underdog and look in a good spot again against the Western Bulldogs. Fremantle have covered 9 of the last 12 meetings with Geelong including three of the last four in Perth. They have covered seven of their last nine and have downed two Top 8 teams in the last three weeks. The Blues cover at 58% as a double digit outsider and have covered six of their last nine off a win. More than happy to take the Cats as an underdog. The Blues cover at 58% as an underdog and at 61% as an underdog in Melbourne. All the NRL expert tips and all the AFL expert tips are tallied throughout the season, round by round. Carlton getting a start is nearly always a bet and so it is here against St Kilda. Richmond defeated Geelong just once between 2001 and the 2017 finals but since then the Tigers have gone on to win two premierships and over that run and have defeated the Cats in five of six. Are you using our new mobile app? At the MCG they are in insane 26-5 against the line when bookies are handing out a start of 18.5 or more. They have covered 10 of their last 12 as an underdog including twice this season. They have also dropped the last two against Saints with St Kilda covering 8 of the last 12 meetings. Carlton has a tremendous cover rate as a big outsider, making the number at a clip of 58% when an underdog of 10 or more points. St Kilda have performed very well against Richmond in recent years with six covers in their last nine. The Blues were typically their gritty best late on in a one-point loss to Melbourne last week. Adelaide are a complete and utter mess. Round 15 of the AFL starts on Tuesday with a double header featuring Hawthorn vs. Since 2012 the Cats cover at just 37% when favoured by four-plus goals. They have covered the start just once this year. The Cats are in a good spot here. The Hawks have just a single win in their last six and were exceptionally poor against Freo. The Hawks cover at 53% when an underdog and they have covered six of nine against Essendon. Geelong have covered 10 of their last 14 at their home ground and cover at 60% at the ground when favoured by fewer than three goals. North Melbourne is 47-31 ATS as an underdog or more than a goal since 2012 and are perennially underrated by the market. This is also known as Online Behavioural Advertising. They are an excellent 32-20 against the spread when $1.85 or longer in betting so they tend to play well in hard matchups and when their backs are against the wall. The Western Bulldogs are poor favourites, covering at just 41% when the popular elect. West Coast have covered 11 of 16 off a win of 30-plus. 2020 AFL Round 15 – Tips, Predictions & Odds. Create or Join a comp to play against family, friends & work mates. Hawthorn have covered four of the last six against the Bulldogs and cover at a very strong 65% when an underdog of more than two goals. When favoured by 10 or more points off a win the Saints have covered just 3 of 13. Taking the best AFL odds just got easier. The Magpies are 22-11 against the spread interstate and were arguably the most impressive team of Round 3. The Bombers have covered five of their last seven as an underdog and cover at 62% when an outsider of more than two goals, a clear indication the market usually gets them wrong. The Bulldogs have lost their last three but they were against the top two teams and the defending premiers. The Cats were magnificent against the Magpies in what was a genuine flag performance. The Saints have covered eight of 12 as an underdog. The Crows have covered just two of 13 getting more than two goals. North have covered 12 of 18 when an underdog of more than two goals. Port have covered 10 of their last 14 off winning by two-plus goals. 2020 AFL Round 4 – Tips, Predictions & Odds. Essendon have an outstanding cover record against Collingwood. The Dockers come off pushing Richmond while the Dees were humiliated by the Swans. If the Tigers are winning their 3rd Flag in 4 years, he is playing a big part in it. The Hawks have dropped all three since shifting to Sydney with all losses coming by 32-plus. Essendon have an excellent record against Port Adelaide with seven covers in their last nine meetings. There was nothing pretty about their return draw with Colingwood, though that matchup is significantly more difficult than Hawthorn. Melbourne cover at just 44% when favoured. Experience should shine here. The Lions are streaking and are a very hard beat this year but the resilient Blues are in a spot too good to pass up. The winless Crows have remarkably covered just 1 of their last 12 games this year. The Tigers project as significant value in this one as a favourite of anything short of 9.5 points. The Cats take on the Lions this week … at the SCG. They are winless and are historically poor defensively. Port have covered just six of 18 off a win of three of more goals. The Bulldogs cover at just 45% off a loss. The Kangaroos are in the opposite boat. Off a loss of more than four goals as a double-digit underdog, the Blues cover rate jumps to a highly impressive 66%. Check out the Betfair Hub and the Betfair Exchange for up to the minute AFL odds. They will be looking to put that disappointing loss behind them in a very winnable affair against the Swans. Check out the Betfair Hub and the Betfair Exchange for up to the minute AFL odds. Getting more than four goals the Roos cover at 61%. Richmond have covered three of their last four against Port Adelaide and have covered six of their last seven off a win so look to be in a prime spot.
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